Autoimmune

Systemic Sclerosis

Reviewed September 7, 2026 5 views

A rare autoimmune disease that hardens skin and internal organs. Both variants here sit in the interferon and T-cell signalling machinery that also turns up in lupus and rheumatoid arthritis — the same immune wiring, a different disease.

What this condition connects to

Systemic Sclerosis Variant: rs10488631 rs10488631 Variant Variant: rs3821236 rs3821236 Variant Systemic Sclerosis Systemic Sclerosis Autoimmune
Prevalence
<p>Systemic sclerosis is rare — typically reported at a few dozen cases per 100,000 people, with wide variation between studies and countries. It is several times more common in women, and usually begins in middle age. Because it is uncommon and heterogeneous, single-centre figures differ substantially from population estimates.</p>
Inheritance
Polygenic with modest individual effects, concentrated in immune signalling — the MHC, interferon regulation (IRF5), cytokine signalling (STAT4) and the T cell receptor complex (CD247). Familial recurrence is measurable but low; most patients have no affected relative.

Systemic sclerosis, also called scleroderma, is an autoimmune disease with three things happening at once: blood vessels behave abnormally, the immune system is activated, and tissue lays down too much collagen. The result is thickened skin and, in many patients, fibrosis of internal organs — lungs, heart, kidneys, gut. It is uncommon, it is serious, and it varies enormously between patients.

The two positions here

Both come from the first genome-wide association study of the disease in people of European ancestry: 2,296 patients and 5,171 controls, with replication in an independent set of 2,753 patients and 4,569 controls.

The same study established the MHC region (P = 2.31 x 10-18) and found a new locus at CD247, part of the T cell receptor complex.

The same wiring, different diseases

STAT4 and IRF5 are not specific to this disease. Both appear in lupus and rheumatoid arthritis as well. That is one of the most durable findings in autoimmune genetics: a shared set of immune switches, with the particular disease determined by other genetic and environmental context.

Which is worth knowing if you meet one of these genes in two different places and wonder whether something has gone wrong. It has not — the gene really is in both stories.

What matters clinically, and it is not this

What actually guides care in systemic sclerosis is the pattern: how much skin is involved, which autoantibody a patient carries (anticentromere, anti-Scl-70, anti-RNA polymerase III), and organ screening — lung function tests, echocardiography, blood pressure and kidney monitoring. Those antibodies carry real prognostic information about which complications to watch for. Common variants do not, and are not tested for.

New Raynaud's phenomenon with skin tightening, difficulty swallowing, or breathlessness deserves prompt specialist assessment. Early detection of lung and kidney involvement changes outcomes; genotype does not.

Clinical detail

The study. The first systemic sclerosis GWAS analysed 279,621 autosomal SNPs in 2,296 patients and 5,171 controls of European ancestry, with replication in 2,753 patients and 4,569 controls. It identified CD247 at 1q22-23 as a new susceptibility locus (rs2056626, P = 2.09 x 10-7 discovery, P = 3.39 x 10-9 combined) and firmly established the MHC (P = 2.31 x 10-18), IRF5 (P = 1.86 x 10-13) and STAT4 (P = 3.37 x 10-9) regions. rs10488631 sits in the IRF5/TNPO3 region and rs3821236 in STAT4.

Shared autoimmune architecture. STAT4 and the IRF5 region are established risk loci across several systemic autoimmune diseases, including systemic lupus erythematosus and rheumatoid arthritis, consistent with shared dysregulation of type I interferon signalling and T-cell activation. Disease specificity appears to arise from combinations rather than from unique genes, which is why locus lists across these diseases overlap heavily.

Clinical stratification. Subsetting is by extent of skin involvement (limited versus diffuse cutaneous) and by autoantibody: anticentromere associates with limited disease and pulmonary hypertension risk, anti-topoisomerase I (Scl-70) with diffuse disease and interstitial lung disease, anti-RNA polymerase III with rapid skin progression and scleroderma renal crisis. Monitoring includes pulmonary function testing, echocardiography and blood pressure surveillance; ACE inhibitors transformed the outlook for renal crisis. No genotype from this page enters that assessment.

Related variants MyGeneLog checks for

What a 23andMe/AncestryDNA export or raw VCF can and can't tell you about Systemic Sclerosis comes down to these specific, well-studied positions — not a diagnosis.

Sensitive

Systemic sclerosis

TNPO · rs10488631

See detailed info →
Sensitive

Systemic sclerosis

STAT4 · rs3821236

See detailed info →

Sources

Frequently asked questions

Do these variants mean I could develop scleroderma?

They shift risk slightly in a disease that is rare to begin with. Most people carrying them will never develop it, and the variants are not used to predict, screen for or diagnose it.

Why do STAT4 and IRF5 appear in other autoimmune diseases too?

Because they are general immune switches — interferon regulation and cytokine signalling — rather than disease-specific genes. Sharing risk loci across lupus, rheumatoid arthritis and systemic sclerosis is one of the most consistent findings in autoimmune genetics.

What actually predicts how this disease will behave?

The autoantibody pattern and the extent of skin involvement, not genotype. Anticentromere, anti-Scl-70 and anti-RNA polymerase III each associate with different complications, and that is what shapes monitoring.

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