Nearsightedness, already affecting an estimated 23% of the world and projected to reach half of it by 2050. Common-variant genetics explains only a fraction of the risk; a splicing mechanism in the X-linked cone opsin genes explains much more in some people, and the same genes are why red-green colour blindness exists.
Solid lines are connections this site curates. Dashed lines mean the two ends share a research paper — worth knowing, and not a claim that one explains the other.
Myopia (nearsightedness) is already one of the most common conditions covered on this site. A 2016 systematic review and meta-analysis of 145 studies covering 2.1 million people estimated 22.9% of the world's population was myopic in 2000 (1,406 million people), with 2.7% having high myopia (163 million). The same analysis projected those figures would reach 49.8% and 9.8% by 2050 — 4,758 million and 938 million people.
Genome-wide association studies have found dozens of common variants linked to myopia risk, each with a small individual effect — rs9318086 near MIPEP and rs6469937 near SNTB1 are two of them. Identified markers collectively explain only a modest share of the heritability, and none of them changes how myopia is diagnosed or corrected.
A different, more mechanistically striking story comes from the OPN1LW and OPN1MW genes — the long- and middle-wavelength cone opsins, sitting in a tandem array at Xq28. A 2022 study of 413 men of European ancestry found that specific combinations of eight coding positions in OPN1LW's exon 3 — a haplotype, not a single variant — determine how often that exon gets skipped during splicing. Cones expressing an exon-3-skipped transcript are left nearly empty of photopigment. Mean refraction across the eleven haplotypes tested ranged from +0.51 diopters (haplotype MVAIS, the least myopic) to -3.14 diopters (haplotype MVVVA, the most myopic) — a roughly 3.6-diopter spread from haplotype alone. rs145009674, one of the eight defining positions, is included on this site as a way into that finding, not as a variant that alone explains it.
The hypothesis this generates is genuinely testable: cones next to each other with very different amounts of photopigment would send a distorted contrast signal, and that distortion — not blur itself — might be what drives the eye's axial elongation in myopia. The same research group is testing contrast-reducing spectacle lenses in a multi-center randomized trial of 256 participants; a 12-month interim analysis favored the contrast-reducing lenses over standard correction.
Fan et al. 2016 (CREAM Consortium) analysed 50,351 people — 40,036 of European ancestry and 10,315 of Asian ancestry, across 34 studies — using a model that jointly tests an ordinary genetic effect on refractive error alongside how that effect might change with a person's education level, used here as a proxy for a lifetime of near-work: reading and close-up focus are thought to induce a lag in visual accommodation that promotes the eye elongation behind myopia.
The joint test found nine new loci for refractive error — six in the European analysis, three in the Asian analysis. Only the three Asian loci showed a real, statistically significant interaction with education specifically; the study states plainly that the six European loci reached significance through the same joint statistical test but did not actually show an education interaction on closer inspection — their effect on refractive error was constant regardless of educational history. Where an interaction was real, it was substantial: about four times larger on average in the Asian cohort than the European one. rs12511037, near AREG, is one of this page's ten variants from that Asian, education-interacting set.
The other nine variants on this page come from the same combined analysis, spanning both its newly discovered loci and refractive-error signals it reconfirmed from earlier research — not every one individually tested for or shown to carry an education interaction the way AREG was.
OPN1LW and OPN1MW are also the genes behind red-green colour vision deficiency, affecting up to 8% of men and 0.5% of women of European descent — the X-linked recessive pattern is why men, with only one X chromosome, are affected so much more often. But the classic cause of colour blindness is a different kind of change entirely: whole-gene deletions or hybrid genes formed when the two near-identical genes recombine unequally with each other. That is a structural rearrangement, not a single-nucleotide variant, and it has no entry in the GWAS Catalog at all. This site's variant pages are built around single positions with a stable rsID, so colour vision deficiency is described here in prose, on the strength of the same gene family covered above, rather than forced onto a variant that does not represent it.
Myopia is diagnosed with a standard eye exam and refraction, not by genotype. It is corrected with glasses, contact lenses, or refractive surgery; a range of interventions (including specialty contact lenses and low-dose atropine) are used specifically to slow its progression in children. None of that depends on any variant on this page.
Colour vision deficiency is diagnosed with standardised colour plates or anomaloscopy, and its management is chiefly practical: appropriate counselling, including career counselling, since some occupations (aviation, some electrical work, some military and public-safety roles) have colour-vision requirements. Visual aids exist but do not restore normal colour discrimination.
The OPN1LW exon-3 haplotype work is a mechanism finding, still being tested in a clinical trial — it has not translated into a diagnostic test or a treatment recommendation outside that trial.
What a 23andMe/AncestryDNA export or raw VCF can and can't tell you about Myopia comes down to these specific, well-studied positions — not a diagnosis. 95 positions are linked to this page; the ones this page's own text discusses are shown first.
TOX · rs10089517
See detailed info →SLC14A2 · rs10853531
See detailed info →TJP2 · rs11145488
See detailed info →AREG · rs12511037
See detailed info →BICC1 · rs1649081
See detailed info →DIS3L-MAP2K1 · rs16949788
See detailed info →RASGRF1 · rs6495367
See detailed info →A2BP1 · rs6500957
See detailed info →MYO1D-TMEM98 · rs72483203
See detailed info →KCNJ2 · rs929474
See detailed info →Databases, guidelines and references
No. Myopia is diagnosed with a standard eye exam and refraction. These variants come from genetic association studies and are not used diagnostically.
Colour vision deficiency is caused by whole-gene deletions and hybrid genes in the same OPN1LW/OPN1MW gene family this page's myopia variant comes from — a structural rearrangement rather than a single-nucleotide variant, and it has no GWAS Catalog entry at all. It is described here in prose rather than forced onto a variant that does not represent it.
Not yet established. A multi-center randomized trial of contrast-reducing lenses is under way and an interim 12-month analysis favored them over standard correction, but this has not translated into a general recommendation.
A 2016 meta-analysis projected global prevalence would rise from 22.9% in 2000 to 49.8% by 2050 — from 1,406 million to 4,758 million people.
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