Cancer

Basal Cell Carcinoma

Reviewed September 8, 2026 5 views

The most common cancer in the world, and one of the least discussed. Its genetics was found by sequencing 2,636 Icelanders and imputing into a quarter of a million people — and one of the variants sits in TP53 itself.

What this condition connects to

Basal Cell Carcinoma Variant: rs78378222 rs78378222 Variant Variant: rs11170164 rs11170164 Variant Variant: rs7538876 rs7538876 Variant Variant: rs801114 rs801114 Variant Variant: rs12210050 rs12210050 Variant Variant: +1 more +1 more Variant Basal Cell Carcinoma Basal Cell Carcinoma Cancer
Prevalence
The most common cancer in humans and the most common cancer in fair-skinned populations by a wide margin. Incidence rises with cumulative ultraviolet exposure and with age, and metastasis is rare.
Inheritance
Polygenic, on a background where the dominant determinants are ultraviolet exposure and constitutive skin pigmentation. Rare inherited syndromes — basal cell naevus (Gorlin) syndrome and xeroderma pigmentosum — cause early and multiple tumours and are separate clinical entities.

Basal cell carcinoma is the most common cancer in humans, by a wide margin. It arises in the deepest layer of the epidermis, grows slowly, and almost never spreads to other organs — which is why it is both extremely common and rarely fatal.

That combination makes it easy to underrate. It is still a cancer, it still has to be removed, and it removes tissue from wherever it happened to start — very often a face.

How this was found

A 2015 study sequenced the whole genomes of 2,636 Icelanders, giving 24,988,228 variants, then imputed them into 4,572 people with basal cell carcinoma and 266,358 controls.

That design is worth noticing. Rather than genotyping everyone at a fixed set of positions, it reads a smaller number of genomes completely and then infers the rest — which is how a population the size of Iceland can produce a study with a quarter of a million controls in it.

Four new susceptibility loci came out: 2p24 near MYCN (OR 0.76), 2q33 at CASP8ALS2CR12 (OR 1.15), 8q21 at ZFHX4 (OR 0.70) and 10p14 near GATA3 (OR 0.74).

Fine mapping found that two variants correlated with the GATA3 signal fall in conserved binding sites for the GATA3 transcription factor itself — a rare case of a GWAS hit landing somewhere with an obvious mechanism.

The one in TP53

rs78378222 is in TP53, the most-studied tumour suppressor gene there is — the gene whose loss is involved in a large share of all human cancers.

Most of what people know about TP53 concerns rare, high-penetrance mutations and Li–Fraumeni syndrome. This is a different object: a common variant in the same gene, contributing to a common cancer by a modest amount. Same gene, entirely different kind of finding, and they should not be read as though they were the same.

What none of it changes

The dominant cause of basal cell carcinoma is ultraviolet exposure, and the dominant risk factor is having skin that burns. Neither of those is in dispute and neither is displaced by anything here.

There is no genetic test for basal cell carcinoma. It is diagnosed by looking at the skin and confirming with a biopsy, and it is prevented by sun protection. If a mark on your skin is new, changing, bleeding or not healing, that is a dermatologist rather than a genotype.

See also sun sensitivity and skin cancer risk, which covers the pigmentation side of this.

Clinical detail

Source. Stacey et al. (Nat Commun 2015) conducted a genome-wide association study of 24,988,228 SNPs and small indels detected through whole-genome sequencing of 2,636 Icelanders and imputed into 4,572 basal cell carcinoma patients and 266,358 controls. Four new susceptibility loci were reported: 2p24 MYCN (rs57244888[C], OR = 0.76, P = 4.7 × 10⁻¹²), 2q33 CASP8ALS2CR12 (rs13014235[C], OR = 1.15, P = 1.5 × 10⁻⁹), 8q21 ZFHX4 (rs28727938[G], OR = 0.70, P = 3.5 × 10⁻¹²) and 10p14 GATA3 (rs73635312[A], OR = 0.74, P = 2.4 × 10⁻¹⁶). Fine mapping showed two variants correlated with rs73635312[A] occur in conserved GATA3 binding sites, and expression microarrays and RNA-seq associated rs13014235[C] and the related rs700635[C] with expression of CASP8 splice variants retaining intron 8 sequences.

Positions listed here. rs7538876 (RCC2), rs801114 (RHOU), rs11170164 (KRT5) and rs78378222 (TP53), recorded by the collector from this study. They are not the four index SNPs named above for the new loci; the odds ratios quoted for those loci belong to those index SNPs and are not transferred here.

rs78378222. A common variant in TP53, distinct in kind from the rare high-penetrance TP53 mutations that cause Li–Fraumeni syndrome. Conflating the two would misrepresent both the magnitude and the clinical meaning of this finding.

Clinical use. None. Diagnosis is clinical and dermatoscopic with histological confirmation; treatment is excision or another destructive or topical modality according to subtype, site and size. Prevention is ultraviolet exposure reduction. No genotype is used in screening, diagnosis or management.

Related variants MyGeneLog checks for

What a 23andMe/AncestryDNA export or raw VCF can and can't tell you about Basal Cell Carcinoma comes down to these specific, well-studied positions — not a diagnosis.

Sensitive

Basal cell carcinoma

TP53 · rs78378222

See detailed info →
Sensitive

Basal cell carcinoma

KRT5 · rs11170164

See detailed info →
Sensitive

Basal cell carcinoma

RCC2 · rs7538876

See detailed info →
Sensitive

Basal cell carcinoma

RHOU · rs801114

See detailed info →
Sensitive

Basal cell carcinoma

EXOC2 · rs12210050

See detailed info →
Sensitive

Basal cell carcinoma

UBAC2 · rs7335046

See detailed info →

Sources

Frequently asked questions

I have a TP53 variant in my raw data. Is that Li–Fraumeni syndrome?

Almost certainly not, and the distinction is important. Li–Fraumeni is caused by rare, high-penetrance TP53 mutations and is diagnosed through clinical genetics on the basis of family history and sequencing. rs78378222 is a common variant in the same gene contributing modestly to a common skin cancer. The gene is the only thing they share.

Is basal cell carcinoma dangerous?

It very rarely spreads, which is why it is not usually life-threatening. It does grow locally and destroy the tissue it grows into, and it disproportionately occurs on the face — so it is treated, and treated earlier rather than later.

Does this mean sun exposure matters less than I thought?

No. Ultraviolet exposure remains the dominant cause and skin type the dominant risk factor. Common variants shift the odds modestly around that; they do not replace it.

Free to reuse. This page's text is original writing from freely-available research, licensed CC BY 4.0 — reuse it, including commercially, with attribution to MyGeneLog. It's general research-derived information, not medical advice or a diagnosis — see Terms of Use.