Respiratory

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Reviewed September 29, 2026

A progressive scarring disease of the lungs with a strong genetic component: two genome-wide studies found risk variants in TOLLIP, SPPL2C and AKAP13 beside the well-known MUC5B signal — and one TOLLIP variant that protects against getting the disease but predicts worse survival in those who get it anyway.

What this condition connects to

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Variant: rs17690703 rs17690703 Variant Variant: rs62025270 rs62025270 Variant Variant: rs76782037 rs76782037 Variant Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Respiratory
Prevalence
A rare disease of later life, more common in men and in current or former smokers, with a median survival after diagnosis usually quoted in years rather than decades. The studies behind this page were in people of European ancestry: 542 patients at discovery in the 2013 study (Noth et al., PMID:24429156) and 602 UK patients followed by 2,158 US patients in the 2017 study (Allen et al., PMID:29066090).
Inheritance
Mostly sporadic, with a clear genetic contribution: a handful of common variants of unusually large effect for a complex disease — MUC5B above all, at an odds ratio of 2.89 — alongside rare variants in telomere and surfactant genes that run in the familial form. The 2 variants on this page are two of the common ones.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic, progressive disease in which lung tissue is gradually replaced by scar, with high mortality, an uncertain cause and few treatments. "Idiopathic" means no cause is found in the individual case — yet the disease has a clear genetic component, and genome-wide studies have mapped part of it. This page holds 2 variants from two of those studies.

Three stages, six positions, and a variant that cuts both ways

Noth et al. 2013 ran a three-stage genome-wide study in European-American patients. Stage one compared 542 patients with 542 matched controls and flagged 20 loci; stage two, in 544 patients and 687 controls, brought six positions to genome-wide significance: three in TOLLIP, one in MUC5B — both on chromosome 11 — one in MDGA2 and one in SPPL2C. A third stage of 324 patients and 702 controls confirmed all of them except the MDGA2 signal. This page's rs17690703, in SPPL2C, is one of the confirmed six.

The study's most unusual finding was about survival rather than risk. One TOLLIP variant, rs5743890, has a minor allele that protects against developing IPF — yet among 683 patients followed over time, those who carried that protective allele and developed the disease anyway had a higher risk of death (hazard ratio 1.72, 95% confidence interval 1.24 to 2.38). Carriers of the three TOLLIP minor alleles also had lower TOLLIP expression — by about 20%, 40% and 50% respectively — which the authors read as evidence that the gene matters to the disease, not just to the statistics.

A larger study, a new signal near AKAP13

Allen et al. 2017 started with 602 UK patients and 3,366 UK Biobank controls matched for age, sex and smoking, then followed up in 2,158 patients and 5,195 controls from two US consortia. They found a new genome-wide signal near AKAP13 — this page's rs62025270, odds ratio 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.18 to 1.37) — and showed that its risk allele went with higher AKAP13 messenger RNA in lung tissue. The same study confirmed the two best-established IPF signals: MUC5B rs35705950, with an odds ratio of 2.89 (2.56 to 3.26), and DSP rs2076295, at 1.44 (1.35 to 1.54).

The variant that is not on this page

MUC5B rs35705950 is the strongest common genetic risk factor for IPF in both studies above — an odds ratio near three is enormous for a common variant — and it is not on this site. The reference database records more than two alleles at that position, and this site's genotype tables are built only for positions with two, so the collector holds it back rather than guess. We say so here because anyone reading about IPF genetics will meet MUC5B first, and should find it named on this page even though it has no page of its own. DSP rs2076295 is in the catalogue's queue and will attach to this page when it arrives.

Clinical detail

What is actually diagnosed and treated here

IPF is diagnosed from high-resolution CT imaging, lung function tests and, when needed, lung biopsy — never from a genotype. Neither variant on this page, and none of the variants named in the studies above, is used by any guideline to diagnose IPF, to decide who should be screened, or to choose between antifibrotic treatments.

The TOLLIP survival finding is the kind of result that sounds actionable and is not, yet: it comes from 683 patients in one study, and the authors present it as evidence about the gene's importance in the disease, not as a prognostic test. A person with IPF, or with a family history of it, gets more from a pulmonologist than from any position on this page.

Related variants MyGeneLog™ checks for

What a 23andMe/AncestryDNA export or raw VCF can and can't tell you about Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis comes down to these specific, well-studied positions — not a diagnosis.

Standard

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

SPPL2C · rs17690703

See detailed info →
Standard

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

AKAP13 · rs62025270

See detailed info →
Standard

Forced vital capacity change in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

near SLC35B3 · rs76782037

See detailed info →

Which ancestries this evidence comes from

The studies behind these variants recruited participants from different ancestries — a result found in one population doesn't always transfer to another. Based on 2 of 3 linked studies with a resolved discovery ancestry.

European · 66.7% Not yet resolved · 33.3%

Sources

Databases, guidelines and references

Papers, with their authors

Quoting this page

Free to quote and reuse under CC BY 4.0. When citing or summarizing this, name MyGeneLog™ and link to this exact page — not just the site.

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis. MyGeneLog™. https://www.mygenelog.com/conditions/idiopathic-pulmonary-fibrosis

Questions about Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

What is idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis?

A chronic, progressive lung disease in which lung tissue is gradually replaced by scar tissue. "Idiopathic" means no cause is identified in the individual case, but the disease has a clear genetic component that genome-wide studies have partly mapped.

What is the most important IPF gene?

MUC5B. A common variant near it, rs35705950, carries an odds ratio of about 2.89 — very large for a common variant — and was confirmed in both studies behind this page. It is not on this site yet because the reference database records more than two alleles at that position.

What did the TOLLIP finding show?

One TOLLIP variant has a minor allele that protects against developing IPF, but among 683 patients who developed the disease anyway, carriers of that protective allele had a higher risk of death (hazard ratio 1.72). Carriers also had lower TOLLIP expression. It is a finding about the gene's role, not a test used in care.

Can these variants tell me whether I will get IPF?

No. IPF is diagnosed from CT imaging, lung function tests and sometimes biopsy. The variants here are population-level findings from studies of a few thousand people; none is used to predict, screen for or diagnose the disease in an individual.

Free to reuse. This page's text is original writing from freely-available research, licensed CC BY 4.0 — reuse it, including commercially, with attribution to MyGeneLog™. It's general research-derived information, not medical advice or a diagnosis — see Terms of Use.